Portfolio Solutions® 30-Year Market Forecast for 2015

Each year, I put my head on the chopping block and publish a 30-year forecast for global stock and bond market returns. This forecast is used to create long-term asset allocation strategies for our clients. It’s a terribly imprecise exercise because no one can know how financial markets will perform in the future. There are [...]

3 Costs Investors Must Control

The cost to invest in mutual funds is often couched in terms of expense ratios and commissions. These are important structural costs and certainly worthy of your consideration. However, other costs are not so obvious that can eat deep into your investment return. It’s wise to know what those costs are and how they relate [...]

The Center of Gravity for Retirees

Peter Bernstein wrote The 60/40 Solution in 2002. His seminal article laid out arguments for why 60% stocks and 40% bonds is the “ideal asset allocation” for long-term investors. He considered this allocation the “center of gravity” on a risk and return spectrum. Bernstein’s observation is timeless advice for many investors, but not everyone. The [...]

My Expected Investment Changes in 2015

I make investment changes at a glacial speed. The last change was about five years ago when I combined micro-cap stocks with small-cap value stocks to reduce the number of funds in the portfolio. Before that, I eliminated a preferred stock allocation, which was fortunately done right before the financial crisis. Over the coming year, I believe the opportunity may present itself for another change.

Asset Class and Investment Strategy

Asset classes and investment strategies are two different concepts. An asset class is a category of tangible or intangible assets whose scope may or may not be fully quantifiable. The quantifiable part is the raw material from which an investment strategy is created. US equity is an asset class that’s fairly easy to define and measure. How one invests in US equity is an investment strategy, and there are many ways.